**Generalized Linear Models and Extensions, Fourth Edition**

82,000원

Authors: James W. Hardin and Joseph M. Hilbe Publisher: Stata Press Copyright: 2018 ISBN-13: 978-1-59718-225-6 Pages: 598; paperback

Generalized linear models (GLMs) extend linear regression to models with a non-Gaussian or even discrete response. GLM theory is predicated on the exponential family of distributions—a class so rich that it includes the commonly used logit, probit, and Poisson models. Although one can fit these models in Stata by using specialized commands (for example, logit for logit models), fitting them as GLMs with Stata’s glm command offers some advantages. For example, model diagnostics may be calculated and interpreted similarly regardless of the assumed distribution.

This text thoroughly covers GLMs, both theoretically and computationally, with an emphasis on Stata. The theory consists of showing how the various GLMs are special cases of the exponential family, showing general properties of this family of distributions, and showing the derivation of maximum likelihood (ML) estimators and standard errors. Hardin and Hilbe show how iteratively reweighted least squares, another method of parameter estimation, is a consequence of ML estimation using Fisher scoring. The authors also discuss different methods of estimating standard errors, including robust methods, robust methods with clustering, Newey–West, outer product of the gradient, bootstrap, and jackknife. The thorough coverage of model diagnostics includes measures of influence such as Cook’s distance, several forms of residuals, the Akaike and Bayesian information criteria, and various *R*^{2}-type measures of explained variability.

After presenting general theory, Hardin and Hilbe then break down each distribution. Each distribution has its own chapter that explains the computational details of applying the general theory to that particular distribution. Pseudocode plays a valuable role here because it lets the authors describe computational algorithms relatively simply. Devoting an entire chapter to each distribution (or family, in GLM terms) also allows for the inclusion of real-data examples showing how Stata fits such models, as well as the presentation of certain diagnostics and analytical strategies that are unique to that family. The chapters on binary data and on count (Poisson) data are excellent in this regard. Hardin and Hilbe give ample attention to the problems of overdispersion and zero inflation in count-data models.

The final part of the text concerns extensions of GLMs. First, the authors cover multinomial responses, both ordered and unordered. Although multinomial responses are not strictly a part of GLM, the theory is similar in that one can think of a multinomial response as an extension of a binary response. The examples presented in these chapters often use the authors’ own Stata programs, augmenting official Stata’s capabilities. Second, GLMs may be extended to clustered data through generalized estimating equations (GEEs), and one chapter covers GEE theory and examples. GLMs may also be extended by programming one’s own family and link functions for use with Stata’s official glm command, and the authors detail this process. Finally, the authors describe extensions for multivariate models and Bayesian analysis.

The fourth edition includes two new chapters. The first introduces bivariate and multivariate models for binary and count outcomes. The second covers Bayesian analysis and demonstrates how to use the bayes: prefix and the bayesmh command to fit Bayesian models for many of the GLMs that were discussed in previous chapters. Additionally, the authors added discussions of the generalized negative binomial models of Waring and Famoye. New explanations of working with heaped data, clustered data, and bias-corrected GLMs are included. The new edition also incorporates more examples of creating synthetic data for models such as Poisson, negative binomial, hurdle, and finite mixture models.

James W. Hardin is a professor and the Biostatistics division head in the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics at the University of South Carolina. He is also the associate dean for Faculty Affairs and Curriculum of the Arnold School of Public Health at the University of South Carolina. Hardin is the coauthor, along with Phillip Good, of four editions of *Common Errors in Statistics (And How to Avoid Them)*. He is also the coauthor of more than 200 refereed journal articles and several book chapters. With Hilbe, he wrote the glm command, on which the current Stata command is based. He teaches courses on generalized linear models, generalized estimating equations, count data modeling, and logistic regression through *statistics.com*. Hardin serves on the editorial board of the *Stata Journal*.

Joseph M. Hilbe was a professor emeritus at the University of Hawaii and an adjunct professor of sociology and statistics at Arizona State University. A Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society and the American Statistical Association, he wrote many journal articles and book chapters. He also wrote*Negative Binomial Regression, Practical Guide to Logistic Regression, Modeling Count Data*, and with Hardin, *Generalized Estimating Equations*. Hilbe was also the lead statistician at several major research corporations, CEO of National Health Economics and Research, and president of Health Outcomes Technologies in Pennsylvania. He passed away in March 2017.

1.2 Notational conventions

1.3 Applied or theoretical?

1.4 Road map

1.5 Installing the support materials

2.2 Assumptions

2.3 Exponential family

2.4 Example: Using an offset in a GLM

2.5 Summary

3.2 Starting values for Newton–Raphson

3.3 IRLS (using the expected Hessian)

3.4 Starting values for IRLS

3.5 Goodness of fit

3.6 Estimated variance matrices

3.6.2 Outer product of the gradient

3.6.3 Sandwich

3.6.4 Modified sandwich

3.6.5 Unbiased sandwich

3.6.6 Modified unbiased sandwich

3.6.7 Weighted sandwich: Newey–West

3.6.8 Jackknife

3.6.8.2 One-step jackknife

3.6.8.3 Weighted jackknife

3.6.8.4 Variable jackknife

3.6.9.2 Grouped bootstrap

3.8 Summary

4.2 Diagnostics

4.2.2 Overdispersion

4.4 Residual analysis

4.4.2 Working residuals

4.4.3 Pearson residuals

4.4.4 Partial residuals

4.4.5 Anscombe residuals

4.4.6 Deviance residuals

4.4.7 Adjusted deviance residuals

4.4.8 Likelihood residuals

4.4.9 Score residuals

4.6 Model statistics

4.6.1.2 BIC

^{2}in linear regression

4.6.2.2 The ratio of variances

4.6.2.3 A transformation of the likelihood ratio

4.6.2.4 A transformation of the F test

4.6.2.5 Squared correlation

^{2}interpretations

^{2}

4.6.3.2 McFadden’s likelihood-ratio index

4.6.3.3 Ben-Akiva and Lerman adjusted likelihood-ratio index

4.6.3.4 McKelvey and Zavoina ratio of variances

4.6.3.5 Transformation of likelihood ratio

4.6.3.6 Cragg and Uhler normed measure

^{2}measures

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4.6.4.2 The adjusted count R

^{2}

4.6.4.3 Veall and Zimmermann R

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4.6.4.4 Cameron–Windmeijer R

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4.7.2 Discrete change for GLMs

5.2 Derivation in terms of the mean

5.3 IRLS GLM algorithm (nonbinomial)

5.4 ML estimation

5.5 GLM log-Gaussian models

5.6 Expected versus observed information matrix

5.7 Other Gaussian links

5.8 Example: Relation to OLS

5.9 Example: Beta-carotene

6.2 Example: Reciprocal link

6.3 ML estimation

6.4 Log-gamma models

6.5 Identity-gamma models

6.6 Using the gamma model for survival analysis

7.2 Shape of the distribution

7.3 The inverse Gaussian algorithm

7.4 Maximum likelihood algorithm

7.5 Example: The canonical inverse Gaussian

7.6 Noncanonical links

8.2 Example: Power link

8.3 The power family

9.2 Derivation of the Bernoulli model

9.3 The binomial regression algorithm

9.4 Example: Logistic regression

9.4.2 Model producing logistic odds ratios

9.6 Grouped data

9.7 Interpretation of parameter estimates

10.2 Noncanonical binomial links (binary form)

10.3 The probit model

10.4 The clog-log and log-log models

10.5 Other links

10.6 Interpretation of coefficients

10.6.2 Logit link

10.6.3 Log link

10.6.4 Log complement link

10.6.5 Log-log link

10.6.6 Complementary log-log link

10.6.7 Summary

10.8 Beta binomial regression

10.9 Zero-inflated models

11.2 Scaling of standard errors

11.3 Williams’ procedure

11.4 Robust standard errors

12.2 Derivation of the Poisson algorithm

12.3 Poisson regression: Examples

12.4 Example: Testing overdispersion in the Poisson model

12.5 Using the Poisson model for survival analysis

12.6 Using offsets to compare models

12.7 Interpretation of coefficients

13.2 Variable overdispersion

13.2.2 Derivation in terms of the negative binomial probability function

13.2.3 The canonical link negative binomial parameterization

13.4 Negative binomial examples

13.5 The geometric family

13.6 Interpretation of coefficients

14.2 Zero-truncated models

14.3 Zero-inflated models

14.4 General truncated models

14.5 Hurdle models

14.6 Negative binomial(P) models

14.7 Negative binomial(Famoye)

14.8 Negative binomial(Waring)

14.9 Heterogeneous negative binomial models

14.10 Generalized Poisson regression models

14.11 Poisson inverse Gaussian models

14.12 Censored count response models

14.13 Finite mixture models

14.14 Quantile regression for count outcomes

14.15 Heaped data models

15.1.2 Example: Relation to logistic regression

15.1.3 Example: Relation to conditional logistic regression

15.1.4 Example: Extensions with conditional logistic regression

15.1.5 The independence of irrelevant alternatives

15.1.6 Example: Assessing the IIA

15.1.7 Interpreting coefficients

15.1.8 Example: Medical admissions—introduction

15.1.9 Example: Medical admissions—summary

15.2.2 Example: Comparing probit and multinomial probit

15.2.3 Example: Concluding remarks

16.2 Ordered outcomes for general link

16.3 Ordered outcomes for specific links

16.3.2 Ordered probit

16.3.3 Ordered clog-log

16.3.4 Ordered log-log

16.3.5 Ordered cauchit

16.5 Example: Synthetic data

16.6 Example: Automobile data

16.7 Partial proportional-odds models

16.8 Continuation-ratio models

16.9 Adjacent category model

17.2 Example: Wedderburn’s leaf blotch data

17.3 Example: Tweedie family variance

17.4 Generalized additive models

18.2 Pooled estimators

18.3 Fixed effects

18.3.2 Conditional fixed-effects estimators

18.4.2 Gibbs sampling

18.6 GEEs

18.7 Other models

19.2 Copula functions

19.3 Using copula functions to calculate bivariate probabilities

19.4 Synthetic datasets

19.5 Examples of bivariate count models using copula functions

19.6 The Famoye bivariate Poisson regression model

19.7 The Marshall–Olkin bivariate negative binomial regression model

19.8 The Famoye bivariate negative binomial regression model

20.1.2 Bayesian analysis in Stata

20.2.2 Diagnostic plots

20.2.3 Bayesian logistic regression—informative priors

20.4 Bayesian complementary log-log regression

20.5 Bayesian binomial logistic regression

20.6 Bayesian Poisson regression

20.6.2 Bayesian Poisson with informative priors

20.9 Writing a custom likelihood

20.9.1.2 Bayesian zero-inflated negative binomial logit regression using llf()

20.9.2.2 Bayesian clog-log regression with llevaluator()

20.9.2.3 Bayesian Poisson regression with llevaluator()

20.9.2.4 Bayesian negative binomial regression using llevaluator()

20.9.2.5 Zero-inflated negative binomial logit using llevaluator()

20.9.2.6 Bayesian gamma regression using llevaluator()

20.9.2.7 Bayesian inverse Gaussian regression using llevaluator()

20.9.2.8 Bayesian zero-truncated Poisson using llevaluator()

20.9.2.9 Bayesian bivariate Poisson using llevaluator()

21.1.2 Description

21.1.3 Options

21.2.2 Options

21.3.2 User-written variance functions

21.3.3 User-written programs for link functions

21.3.4 User-written programs for Newey–West weights

21.4.2 Special comments on family(Gaussian) models

21.4.3 Special comments on family(binomial) models

21.4.4 Special comments on family(nbinomial) models

21.4.5 Special comment on family(gamma) link(log) models

22.2 Generating data from a specified population

22.2.2 Generating data for logistic regression

22.2.3 Generating data for probit regression

22.2.4 Generating data for complimentary log-log regression

22.2.5 Generating data for Gaussian variance and log link

22.2.6 Generating underdispersed count data

22.3.2 Power analysis

22.3.3 Comparing fit of Poisson and negative binomial

22.3.4 Effect of missing covariate on R

^{2}

_{Efron}in Poisson regression