Maximum Likelihood Estimation with Stata, Fourth Edition

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Maximum Likelihood Estimation with Stata, Fourth Edition is the essential reference and guide for researchers in all disciplines who wish to write maximum likelihood (ML) estimators in Stata. Beyond providing comprehensive coverage of Stata’s ml command for writing ML estimators, the book presents an overview of the underpinnings of maximum likelihood and how to think about ML estimation.

 

The book shows you how to take full advantage of the ml command’s noteworthy features:

 

  • linear constraints
  • four optimization algorithms (Newton–Raphson, DFP, BFGS, and BHHH)
  • observed information matrix (OIM) variance estimator
  • outer product of gradients (OPG) variance estimator
  • Huber/White/sandwich robust variance estimator
  • cluster–robust variance estimator
  • complete and automatic support for survey data analysis
  • direct support of evaluator functions written in Mata

When appropriate options are used, many of these features are provided automatically by ml and require no special programming or intervention by the researcher writing the estimator.

 

The fourth edition has been updated to include new features introduced in recent versions of Stata. Such features include new methods for handling scores, more consistent arguments for likelihood-evaluator programs, and support for likelihood evaluators written in Mata (Stata’s matrix programming language). The authors illustrate how to write your estimation command so that it fully supports factor-variable notation and the svyprefix for estimation with survey data. They have also restructured the chapters that introduce ml in a way that allows you to begin working with mlfaster. This edition is essential for anyone using Stata 11.

 

In the final chapter, the authors illustrate the major steps required to get from log-likelihood function to fully operational estimation command. This is done using several different models: logit and probit, linear regression, Weibull regression, the Cox proportional hazards model, random-effects regression, and seemingly unrelated regression.

 

The authors provide extensive advice for developing your own estimation commands. With a little care and the help of this book, users will be able to write their own estimation commands—commands that look and behave just like the official estimation commands in Stata.

 

Whether you want to fit a special ML estimator for your own research or wish to write a general-purpose ML estimator for others to use, you need this book.

 

William Gould is President of StataCorp and heads the technical development of Stata. Gould is also the architect of Mata, Stata’s matrix programming language.

 

Jeff Pitblado is Executive Director of Statistical Software at StataCorp. Pitblado has played a leading role in the development of ml: he added the ability of ml to work with survey data and he wrote the current implementation of ml in Mata.

 

Brian Poi was Senior Economist at StataCorp. On the software development side, he wrote a variety of econometric estimators in Stata.

 

List of tables
List of figures
Versions of Stata
Notation and typography
1 Theory and practice
1.1 The likelihood-maximization problem
1.2 Likelihood theory 
1.2.1 All results are asymptotic 
1.2.2 Likelihood-ratio tests and Wald tests 
1.2.3 The outer product of gradients variance estimator 
1.2.4 Robust variance estimates 
1.3 The maximization problem 
1.3.1 Numerical root finding 
Newton’s method 
The Newton–Raphson algorithm 
1.3.2 Quasi-Newton methods 
The BHHH algorithm 
The DFP and BFGS algorithms 
1.3.3 Numerical maximization 
1.3.4 Numerical derivatives 
1.3.5 Numerical second derivatives 
1.4 Monitoring convergence 
2 Introduction to ml
2.1 The probit model 
2.2 Normal linear regression 
2.3 Robust standard errors 
2.4 Weighted estimation 
2.5 Other features of method-gf0 evaluators 
2.6 Limitations 
3 Overview of ml
3.1 The terminology of ml 
3.2 Equations in ml 
3.3 Likelihood-evaluator methods 
3.4 Tools for the ml programmer 
3.5 Common ml options 
3.5.1 Subsamples 
3.5.2 Weights 
3.5.3 OPG estimates of variance 
3.5.4 Robust estimates of variance 
3.5.5 Survey data 
3.5.6 Constraints 
3.5.7 Choosing among the optimization algorithms 
3.6 Maximizing your own likelihood functions 
4 Method lf
4.1 The linear-form restrictions 
4.2 Examples 
4.2.1 The probit model 
4.2.2 Normal linear regression 
4.2.3 The Weibull model 
4.3 The importance of generating temporary variables as doubles 
4.4 Problems you can safely ignore 
4.5 Nonlinear specifications 
4.6 The advantages of lf in terms of execution speed 
5 Methods lf0, lf1, and lf2
5.1 Comparing these methods 
5.2 Outline of evaluators of methods lf0, lf1, and lf2 
5.2.1 The todo argument 
5.2.2 The b argument 
Using mleval to obtain values from each equation 
5.2.3 The lnfj argument 
5.2.4 Arguments for scores 
5.2.5 The H argument 
Using mlmatsum to define H 
5.2.6 Aside: Stata’s scalars 
5.3 Summary of methods lf0, lf1, and lf2 
5.3.1 Method lf0 
5.3.2 Method lf1 
5.3.3 Method lf2 
5.4 Examples 
5.4.1 The probit model 
5.4.2 Normal linear regression 
5.4.3 The Weibull model 
6 Methods d0, d1, and d2
6.1 Comparing these methods 
6.2 Outline of method d0, d1, and d2 evaluators 
6.2.1 The todo argument 
6.2.2 The b argument 
6.2.3 The lnf argument 
Using lnf to indicate that the likelihood cannot be calculated 
Using mlsum to define lnf 
6.2.4 The g argument 
Using mlvecsum to define g 
6.2.5 The H argument 
6.3 Summary of methods d0, d1, and d2 
6.3.1 Method d0 
6.3.2 Method d1 
6.3.3 Method d2 
6.4 Panel-data likelihoods 
6.4.1 Calculating lnf 
6.4.2 Calculating g 
6.4.3 Calculating H 
Using mlmatbysum to help define H 
6.5 Other models that do not meet the linear-form restrictions 
7 Debugging likelihood evaluators
7.1 ml check 
7.2 Using the debug methods 
7.2.1 First derivatives 
7.2.2 Second derivatives 
7.3 ml trace 
8 Setting initial values
8.1 ml search 
8.2 ml plot 
8.3 ml init 
9 Interactive maximization
9.1 The iteration log 
9.2 Pressing the Break key 
9.3 Maximizing difficult likelihood functions 
10 Final results
10.1 Graphing convergence 
10.2 Redisplaying output 
11 Mata-based likelihood evaluators
11.1 Introductory examples 
11.1.1 The probit model 
11.1.2 The Weibull model 
11.2 Evaluator function prototypes 
Method-lf evaluators 
lf-family evaluators 
d-family evaluators 
11.3 Utilities 
Dependent variables 
Obtaining model parameters 
Summing individual or group-level log likelihoods 
Calculating the gradient vector 
Calculating the Hessian 
11.4 Random-effects linear regression 
11.4.1 Calculating lnf 
11.4.2 Calculating g 
11.4.3 Calculating H 
11.4.4 Results at last 
12 Writing do-files to maximize likelihoods
12.1 The structure of a do-file 
12.2 Putting the do-file into production 
13 Writing ado-files to maximize likelihoods
13.1 Writing estimation commands 
13.2 The standard estimation-command outline 
13.3 Outline for estimation commands using ml 
13.4 Using ml in noninteractive mode 
13.5 Advice 
13.5.1 Syntax 
13.5.2 Estimation subsample 
13.5.3 Parsing with help from mlopts 
13.5.4 Weights 
13.5.5 Constant-only model 
13.5.6 Initial values 
13.5.7 Saving results in e() 
13.5.8 Displaying ancillary parameters 
13.5.9 Exponentiated coefficients 
13.5.10 Offsetting linear equations 
13.5.11 Program properties 
14 Writing ado-files for survey data analysis
14.1 Program properties 
14.2 Writing your own predict command 
15 Other examples
15.1 The logit model 
15.2 The probit model 
15.3 Normal linear regression 
15.4 The Weibull model 
15.5 The Cox proportional hazards model 
15.6 The random-effects regression model 
15.7 The seemingly unrelated regression model 
A Syntax of ml
B Likelihood-evaluator checklists
B.1 Method lf 
B.2 Method d0 
B.3 Method d1 
B.4 Method d2 
B.5 Method lf0 
B.6 Method lf1 
B.7 Method lf2 
C Listing of estimation commands
C.1 The logit model 
C.2 The probit model 
C.3 The normal model 
C.4 The Weibull model 
C.5 The Cox proportional hazards model 
C.6 The random-effects regression model 
C.7 The seemingly unrelated regression model 
References